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The latest Bet Better model pick for Thomas Flegler is Yes on Anytime Try.
On Anytime Try, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 8%, implied 7%, edge +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 14, 8:30PM UTC
NRL

Thomas Flegler

NRL

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Try Yes +1400 (15.00) · $100→$1,500
+1.5% Edge
Dolphins @ New Zealand Warriors
Sat 12 Sep, 6:07AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 88 of 173 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
8 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 8.1% · the book's price implies 6.7% · gap +1.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Try8.1%—6.7%12.31+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins: Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer (+1400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 12 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Flegler Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Thomas Flegler scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $150 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Thomas Flegler is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Thomas Flegler is Yes on Anytime Try. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors on Saturday 12 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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