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Model picks & player props
St George Illawarra Dragons
VS
Wests Tigers

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 28, 3:19PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 6:05AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St George Illawarra Dragons Moneyline -110

The model graded 20 markets for St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 6:05AM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.3%
The price says50.3%
Best price-110
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
St George Illawarra Dragons · $100 returned $198

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
St George Illawarra Dragons
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St George Illawarra DragonsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St George Illawarra Dragons

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Wests Tigers

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

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St George Illawarra Dragons @ Wests Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for St George Illawarra Dragons at Wests Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers — recent results

Wests Tigers have won 1 of their last 5 games; St George Illawarra Dragons have won 0 of their last 0.

Wests Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W25–24SYDAway
L22–24ST.Home
L13–16PARHome
L10–56CANAway
L6–32NEWHome

St George Illawarra Dragons @ Wests Tigers — model preview

Wests Tigers v St George Illawarra Dragons, 16 August 2026. Top of the list: St George Illawarra Dragons +1.5 on the Line. Here is why, in plain English.

On Sunday 16 August 2026, Wests Tigers play St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is St George Illawarra Dragons +1.5 on the Line, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

St George Illawarra Dragons +1.5 on the Line (-114)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 16 August 2026, Wests Tigers host St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is St George Illawarra Dragons 1.5 Line. On this line St George Illawarra Dragons start with 1.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
8
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Spread St George Illawarra Dragons +1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Points Over 47.5 ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -0.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread St George Illawarra Dragons +0.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread St George Illawarra Dragons +2.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Points Over 46.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers in the NRL. You may also see this matchup written as Dragons vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Dragons. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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