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Model picks & player props
Parramatta Eels
VS
Dolphins

Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 5, 4:25PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Fri 21 Aug 2026, 10:00AM
20
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 51.5 Total Points -110

The model graded 25 markets for Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 21 Aug 2026, 10:00AM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.8%
The price says49.6%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 51.5 Lean56% chance -110
Alt Total Points Lean56% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot35% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot38% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot32% chance
Spread Lean54% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot34% chance
Total Points Lean55% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot12% chance
Tries Over × 2 props Long-shotup to 5%
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7%
Try Scorer First × 1 prop Long-shotup to 1%
Try Scorer Last × 1 prop Long-shotup to 1%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Dolphins are the model's favourite to beat Parramatta Eels, with a 77% chance to win. Predicted score: Dolphins 26.7 – Parramatta Eels 20.4. Kick-off Fri 21 Aug, 10:00AM. Best bet: Under 51.5 at -110.
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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 51.5 · $100 returned $190

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NRL market — 82 of 131 right (nrl totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Over 48.5
Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $205
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
50.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Parramatta EelsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Parramatta EelsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Parramatta EelsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DolphinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Parramatta Eels

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Dolphins

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tallyn Da Silva Tries Over
Junior Paulo Anytime Try
Jordan Samrani Tries Over
Junior Paulo Try Scorer First
Junior Paulo Try Scorer Last

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Parramatta Eels @ Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 25 betting markets for Parramatta Eels at Dolphins — 20 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 25 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 24 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins — recent results

Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5 games; Parramatta Eels have won 0 of their last 0.

Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–20GOLAway
W26–12SYDAway
W34–16PARHome
W22–0MANAway
W40–32BRIHome

Parramatta Eels @ Dolphins — model preview

Dolphins v Parramatta Eels, 21 August 2026. Top of the list: Under 51.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Friday 21 August 2026, Dolphins play Parramatta Eels in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 51.5 Total Points, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 51.5 Total Points (-114)

Odds available at Tabtouch at time of publishing

On Friday 21 August 2026, Dolphins host Parramatta Eels in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 51.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 51.5 points between them. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. That price was showing at TABtouch. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 51.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Total Points Under 50.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Total Points Under 51.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Spread Dolphins -14.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Spread Dolphins -12.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 56.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 55.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 54.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 53.5 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 50.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins in the NRL. The most recent game between them was Friday 21 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dolphins 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Aug 2026Eels @ Dolphins34–16Dolphins
Today's selected board

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