Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) Over 24.5 Saves (-105)

Betting on Andrei Vasilevskiy for Over 24.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is backed by his recent performance and model prediction. Vasilevskiy's average number of saves in the last 5 home games is 22.8, which is slightly under the proposed line. However, when considering his overall last 5 games, his average number of saves increases to 26.2, exceeding the line. The model also predicts an outcome of 26.18 saves, which supports the bet. Additionally, he faces an average of 27.6 shots in recent games, indicating a significant opportunity to make over 24.5 saves. Lastly, with a current home game hit streak of 1 and an overall hit rate in the last 3 games of 2/3, Vasilevskiy's recent form and capacity to make high save numbers justifies the bet.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Los Angeles Kings : Los Angeles Kings +1.5 (-161)

The bet on Los Angeles Kings 1.5 is supported by their recent performance and comparative stats. Even though Kings' stats are lower in comparison to Lightning's in terms of goals and assists, the Kings have shown resilience, maintaining a competitive overall record (3-2). The Kings' average goals against (2.2) is lower than the Lightning's (2.6), suggesting a solid defensive performance that can limit the Lightning's scoring. Moreover, the model prediction of 0.2 indicates a close game, which aligns with a bet on the Kings with a 1.5-goal handicap. In essence, even if the Kings lose, they can afford to do so by a single goal and still secure a win for this bet. This bet is therefore seen as a sensible choice given the Kings' defensive abilities and the expected tightness of the game.