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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Kings
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:57PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Fri 19 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Kings Moneyline +154

The model graded 5 markets for Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $254 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 19 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.0%
The price says39.4%
Best price+154
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Los Angeles Kings Lean53% chance +154
Spread High66% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 56% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Kings
+154
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles KingsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles KingsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Kings

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability1 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Andrei Vasilevskiy Tampa Bay Lightning Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Los Angeles KingsNo line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineLos Angeles Kings +1.5No line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Los Angeles Kings @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Los Angeles Kings @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Los Angeles Kings at Tampa Bay Lightning — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Kings have won 0 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Los Angeles Kings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5COLHome
L2–4COLHome
L1–2COLAway
L1–2COLAway
L1–3CGYAway

Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Los Angeles Kings won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningLos Angeles KingsWinner
Jan 253Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

1 player is listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Kings @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Los Angeles Kings. Includes analysis on key players like Andrei Vasilevskiy. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Los Angeles Kings stats and odds.

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) Over 24.5 Saves (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Andrei Vasilevskiy for Over 24.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is backed by his recent performance and model prediction. Vasilevskiy's average number of saves in the last 5 home games is 22.8, which is slightly under the proposed line. However, when considering his overall last 5 games, his average number of saves increases to 26.2, exceeding the line. The model also predicts an outcome of 26.18 saves, which supports the bet. Additionally, he faces an average of 27.6 shots in recent games, indicating a significant opportunity to make over 24.5 saves. Lastly, with a current home game hit streak of 1 and an overall hit rate in the last 3 games of 2/3, Vasilevskiy's recent form and capacity to make high save numbers justifies the bet.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Kings vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Kings vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Kings. The most recent game between them was Friday 19 December 2025 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Los Angeles Kings3–5Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

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