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Model picks & player props
Calgary Flames
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:03PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Thu 27 Nov 2025, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Calgary Flames 1.5 Spread -175

The model graded 2 markets for Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $157 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Nov 2025, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.0%
The price says63.7%
Best price-175
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Calgary Flames 1.5 High66% chance -175
Total Goals High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Calgary Flames
+1.5
-175
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Calgary FlamesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin Bahl DOut
  • Connor Zary COut
  • Yan Kuznetsov DOut
  • Henry Mews DOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineCalgary Flames +1.5No line posted

Calgary Flames @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Calgary Flames @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Calgary Flames @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Calgary Flames have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Calgary Flames — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1LAHome
L1–3COLHome
W4–1UTAHome
L1–4SEAAway
L1–3COLAway

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 0, Calgary Flames won 1.

DateTampa Bay LightningCalgary FlamesWinner
Mar 2334Calgary Flames

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Calgary Flames
PlayerStatus
Kevin Bahl DOUT
Connor Zary COUT
Yan Kuznetsov DOUT
Henry Mews DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Flames vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Flames. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 November 2025 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Calgary Flames 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Calgary Flames4–3Calgary Flames
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