Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Wed 14 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Tampa Bay Lightning (Moneyline)
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL), model win probability 65.5%, fair odds 1.53, book price -143, model edge +6.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 14 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at PPG Paints Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
-143
+ 2 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Pittsburgh Penguins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability1 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 14 January 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks