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Model picks & player props
NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Tue 13 Jan 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 3 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins and backs Tampa Bay Lightning hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $170.

3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Lightning
to win
Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$16.99Best price-143
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.5%
The price says58.8%

The model graded 3 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $170 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 13 Jan 2026, 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning High65% chance -143
Spread Members only High75% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High98% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins last met on Tue 13 Jan 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
-143
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 70,470+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Anthony Cirelli CDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Ben Kindel COut
  • Bryan Rust RWDay-to-day
  • Samuel Girard DDay-to-day
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk DOut
  • Justin Brazeau RWOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Oct 21, 6:52AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted
1-4last 5 record
GF/G2.4GA/G4.4Shots/G24.6vs Lightning3-2

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 1 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 4 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5UTAAway
L2–6VGKAway
L2–5COLAway
L3–5CHIAway
W2–1DALHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2VANHome
W4–3SEAHome
L1–4NYRAway
W5–3NYIAway
W3–2MINHome

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Apr 236Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 1412Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Ben Kindel COUT
Bryan Rust RWDAY-TO-DAY
Samuel Girard DDAY-TO-DAY
Trevor van Riemsdyk DOUT
Justin Brazeau RWOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Anthony Cirelli CDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 13 January 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 2 Apr 2026, Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning: the Lightning won 6-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Apr 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–3Tampa Bay Lightning
14 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Pittsburgh Penguins1–2Tampa Bay Lightning

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