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Model picks & player props
NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Thu 29 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Montréal Canadiens
7-5 · 4-2 awayWLWWW
VS
Dallas Stars
7-5 · 4-3 at homeWWWWL

Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks · Thu 29 Oct

Our model graded 3 markets for Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars and backs Under 5.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $220.

3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 5.5 total goals
Under 5.5 Total Goals
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00Best price+120
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.5%
The price says44.5%

The model graded 3 markets for Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 29 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 5.5 Lean42% chance +120
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean58% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →
Dallas Stars are the model's favourite to beat Montréal Canadiens, with a 63% chance to win. Kick-off Thu 29 Oct, 8:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center. Best bet: Under 5.5 at +120.
How they've been scoring this season
Montréal CanadiensDallas Stars
Won-lost7-57-5
Goals scored per game3.22.8
Goals allowed per game3.02.1
On the road / at home4-2 away4-3 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWWWWWWWL
Their games average 5.5 total goals this season.
From the 12 Montréal Canadiens and 12 Dallas Stars games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Dallas Stars about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Canadiensabout 4 in 10$2.47 (+147)$2.42 (+142)
Dallas Starsabout 6 in 10$1.68 (-147)$1.65 (-154)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.10 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 24 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
5.5
+120
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Montréal Canadiens3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

FanDuel
on Montréal Canadiens
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Montreal Canadiens

  • Nick Suzuki COut
  • Sam Montembeault GOut
  • Ivan Demidov RWOut
  • Bryce Pickford DOut
  • Lucas Condotta LWOut

Dallas Stars

  • Kyle Capobianco DOut
  • Sam Steel CDay-to-day
  • Esa Lindell DOut
  • Radek Faksa COut
  • Oskar Back COut
  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Luke Krys DOut
  • Cameron Hughes COut
Availability updated Oct 28, 4:40PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineModel leans Dallas Stars-161
63%model win %
4-1last 5 record
GF/G3.4GA/G2.4Shots/G30.2

Model leans Dallas Stars to win, a 63% moneyline pick over Montréal Canadiens.

Puck LineDallas Stars -1.5No line posted
4-1last 5 record
GF/G3.4GA/G2.4Shots/G30.2

Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalU 5.5 +120
51%model under %

Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars U 5.5 goals — model 51% under.

Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars — recent results

Dallas Stars have won 4 of their last 5 games; Montréal Canadiens have won 0 of their last 0.

Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5NJHome
W6–3NYIHome
W3–2WPGHome
W3–2BOSHome
W4–0CHIAway

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Kyle Capobianco DOUT
Sam Steel CDAY-TO-DAY
Esa Lindell DOUT
Radek Faksa COUT
Oskar Back COUT
Matt Duchene COUT
Luke Krys DOUT
Cameron Hughes COUT
Montreal Canadiens
PlayerStatus
Nick Suzuki COUT
Sam Montembeault GOUT
Ivan Demidov RWOUT
Bryce Pickford DOUT
Lucas Condotta LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars — where the money went

Since betting opened on Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 5.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Dallas Stars -1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 5.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Montréal Canadiens 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Canadiens vs Stars, or as Stars vs Canadiens. The next scheduled game is Thursday 29 October 2026 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Montréal Canadiens 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 4 Jan 2026, Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars: the Canadiens won 4-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Jan 2026Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars3–4Montréal Canadiens

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