Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mack Hollins is Under 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL
Mack Hollins
NE
Mack Hollins has one live pick today: Receptions Under 3.5 that pays $162 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 3.5
-161 (1.62) · $100→$162
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Hollins caught both of his targets for 18 yards in Sunday's 20-3 victory over Pittsburgh.
updated Sep 21, 11:23PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 48.5% · before adjusting for past results 63.5% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap -13.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 63.5% | 48.5% | 61.7% | 1.74 | +1.8% |
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Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions (-161)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceptions4 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–3.5tips tracked4
Mack Hollins's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted 35.5typical line · receiving yds
line range35.5–36.5tips tracked6
Mack Hollins's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 35.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
-161 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots |
Receiving Yards |
36.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots |
Receiving Yards |
35.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
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Mack Hollins (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mack Hollins is Under 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 20 September at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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