Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Breece Hall is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:02PM UTC
NFL
Breece Hall
NYJ
Breece Hall has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 that pays $246 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
+146 (2.46) · $100→$246
Value call
Green Bay Packers
@
New York Jets
New York · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Hall rushed 16 times for 29 yards while catching all five of his targets for 63 yards in Sunday's 20-17 overtime loss to the Packers.
updated Sep 20, 9:06PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
28.4 Receiving Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 33.9% · before adjusting for past results 48.0% · the book's price implies 40.7% · gap -6.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 48.0% | 33.9% | 40.7% | 2.46 | +7.3% |
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Breece Hall (NYJ) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (+146)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Jets play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Breece Hall (NYJ) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at +146 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9
Breece Hall's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards50 lines trackedNo line posted 18.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–59.5model over61%tips tracked50
Breece Hall's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 50 times, typically around a 18.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions24 lines trackedNo line posted 2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over63%tips tracked24
Breece Hall's NFL receptions prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
+146 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
19.5 |
Over |
-104 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
18.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Breece Hall (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Breece Hall is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets on Sunday 20 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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