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Model picks & player props
Florida Gators
VS
Missouri Tigers

Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 27, 9:11AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers and backs Under 56.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

NCAAF
Sat 3 Oct 2026, 7:30PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 56.5 Total Points -110

The model graded 4 markets for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 3 Oct 2026, 7:30PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.7%
The price says50.5%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 56.5 High73% chance -110
Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean52% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Florida Gators are the model's favourite to beat Missouri Tigers, with a 62% chance to win. Predicted score: Missouri Tigers 20.6 – Florida Gators 26.1. Kick-off Sat 3 Oct, 7:30PM. Best bet: Under 56.5 at -110.
How they've been scoring this season
Florida GatorsMissouri Tigers
Won-lost3-03-1
Points scored per game56.735.8
Points allowed per game17.320.8
On the road / at home–2-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWWWWL
Their games average 65.3 total points this season.
From the 3 Florida Gators and 4 Missouri Tigers games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 2 bookmakers compared
Winner
Florida Gators1.47-212Kalshi
Tigers2.86+186Kalshi
Total points
Over56.51.96-104Kalshi
Under56.51.89-113Kalshi

Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers odds by bookmaker

2 books · best price in green
BookFlorida Gators winTigers winTigers +5.5Over 56.5Under 56.5
Kalshi1.47-2122.86+186—1.96-1041.89-113
Polymarket1.45-2233.23+2232.04+104——

Since the market opened: Tigers to win opened 2.42, best now 3.23; the over 56.5 opened 1.91, best now 1.96 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 84 of 119 right (ncaaf player pass yds overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 26
Hank Brown Over 155.5
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $188
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
56.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri TigersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Florida GatorsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Missouri TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Missouri Tigers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Missouri Tigers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Missouri Tigers
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Florida Gators

  • Kahleil Jackson WROut

Missouri Tigers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Nov 21, 6:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Kahleil Jackson.
FactorThis fixture
Availability1 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

1 player is listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Florida Gators
PlayerStatus
Kahleil Jackson WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers, the market has moved away from Missouri Tigers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Missouri Tigers▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Florida Gators▲ Money came for this
Spread — Missouri Tigers 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Florida Gators -2.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 56.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 56.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 54.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 54.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Gators vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Gators. The next scheduled game is Saturday 3 October 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

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