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NCAAF

Jadan Baugh

Florida

Value call

Jadan Baugh (Florida) has one live pick today: over 78.5 rushing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
100.3 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 91.0% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Florida Gators @ Texas Longhorns
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Jadan Baugh
over 78.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 78.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jadan Baugh is Over 78.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 1:55AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards91.0%49.4%52.9%2.01+41.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators: Jadan Baugh Over 78.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Texas Longhorns host Florida Gators in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jadan Baugh Over 78.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Jadan Baugh finishes with more than 78.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (26 picks) 57.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Jadan Baugh's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 78.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Jadan Baugh's rushing yards line is 78.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Rushing Yards 79.5
-110 best over price · 1 book

Jadan Baugh's rushing yards line is 79.5, best over price -110 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 9.5
-125 best over price · 1 book

Jadan Baugh's receiving yards line is 9.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Rushing Yards 121.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Rushing Yards 120.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Rushing Yards 119.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jadan Baugh (Florida) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.7% on tracked Jadan Baugh picks. The latest model pick for Jadan Baugh is Over 78.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +41.2% on this pick. Their next game is Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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