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The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Simmons is Under 249.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:13PM UTC
NCAAF

Austin Simmons

Missouri

Value call

Austin Simmons (Missouri) has one live pick today: Passing Yards Under 249.5 that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards Under 249.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers
Sat 3 Oct, 7:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
227.1 Passing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.7% · before adjusting for past results 77.6% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap -2.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards77.6%52.7%54.6%1.96+26.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

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Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators: Austin Simmons Under 249.5 Passing Yards (-120)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Missouri Tigers host Florida Gators in college football. The bet we are looking at is Austin Simmons Under 249.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Austin Simmons finishes with fewer than 249.5 passing yards. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards 223.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards 224.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards 226.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Austin Simmons (Missouri) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Simmons is Under 249.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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