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NCAAF

Aaron Philo

Florida

Value call

Aaron Philo (Florida) has one live pick today: under 1.5 passing touchdowns that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
1.2 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.3% · before adjusting for past results 78.8% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap -1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators
Sat 10 Oct, 12:45 PM ET
Aaron Philo
under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Passing TDs Under 1.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Philo is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 6:40PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 620 of 1,142 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs78.8%42.3%43.5%2.38+36.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Florida Gators vs South Carolina Gamecocks: Aaron Philo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Florida Gators host South Carolina Gamecocks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Philo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Aaron Philo finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. That price was showing at ESPN BET. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Aaron Philo's lines for Sat 10 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 1.5

Aaron Philo's passing tds line is 1.5.

Passing Yards 221.5

Aaron Philo's passing yards line is 221.5.

Rushing Yards 13.5

Aaron Philo's rushing yards line is 13.5.

Rushing Yards 14.5

Aaron Philo's rushing yards line is 14.5.

Passing Yards 226.5

Aaron Philo's passing yards line is 226.5.

Rushing Yards 15.5

Aaron Philo's rushing yards line is 15.5.

Passing Yards 228.5

Aaron Philo's passing yards line is 228.5.

Passing Yards 229.5

Aaron Philo's passing yards line is 229.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Passing TDs 1.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Completions 16.5 Over +100 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Florida Gators Completions 18.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Rush Attempts — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Philo (Florida) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Philo is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.0% on this pick. Their next game is South Carolina Gamecocks vs Florida Gators on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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