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NBA

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Indiana Pacers

Value call

Kelly Oubre Jr. (Indiana Pacers) has one live pick today: over 10.5 points that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
14.0 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.7% · before adjusting for past results 76.2% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap -8.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Kelly Oubre Jr.
over 10.5 points
Points Over 10.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kelly Oubre Jr. is Over 10.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 1:56AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.2%46.7%55.6%2.14+20.6%

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AI Analysis

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers: Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 10.5 Points (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Kelly Oubre Jr. to score over 10.5 points tonight, he needs to have a solid game against the Indiana Pacers. The Pelicans are at home in the Smoothie King Center, which can give them a boost. Oubre has been feeling good lately, and the Pacers have had a bit of trouble keeping up with fast-paced teams, so this could work in his favor. Oubre is rated as a strong favorite to hit this mark, and the Pelicans are known for their high-scoring games. The biggest risk is that the Pacers are also strong offensively, which might lead to a tighter game than expected. Still, with Oubre's recent form and the home advantage, he has a great shot to score over 10.5 points tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kelly Oubre Jr.'s lines for Thu 22 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Points 10.5

Kelly Oubre Jr.'s points line is 10.5.

Kelly Oubre Jr. — 2024-25 season averages

Over 60 games in the 2024-25 season, Kelly Oubre Jr. averaged 15.1 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 34.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.0% from the field and 29.3% from three-point range.

15.1
PPG
6.1
RPG
1.8
APG
1.5
SPG
0.5
BPG
34.7
MPG
47.0%
FG%
29.3%
3P%

Kelly Oubre Jr. — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 32.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.4
MPG (L5)
18.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Kelly Oubre Jr. — points hit rate

Kelly Oubre Jr. has scored over 11.5 points in 49% of 512 career games.

o11.549%
o12.544%
o15.531%
o20.514%

Kelly Oubre Jr. — home vs away scoring

At home Kelly Oubre Jr. averages 15.2 points per game; on the road, 15.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.2
PPG at home
15.0
PPG on the road

Kelly Oubre Jr. — scoring by opponent

Kelly Oubre Jr. scores most against the POR, averaging 18.9 points per game in that matchup.

18.9
POR
18.8
SAC
18.7
HOU
18.3
MIN
17.9
DET
17.8
CHA

Kelly Oubre Jr. — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 19.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mar@ TOR261350
9 Marvs UTAH20622
6 Mar@ BOS342756
4 Mar@ MIN402432
1 Marvs GS422021
26 Feb@ NY422751
24 Febvs CHI331981
22 Febvs BKN381451
20 Febvs BOS351640
12 Feb@ BKN393030
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kelly Oubre Jr. (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kelly Oubre Jr. is Over 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 21 October at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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