Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 44%, versus the book's implied 25%, for a model edge of +18.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:58AM UTC
NBA

Jose Alvarado

New York Knicks

+18.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 +294 (3.94) · $100→$394
+18.2% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
43.6%
Implied Probability
25.4%
Model Edge
+18.2%
Predicted Value
8.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs43.6%25.4%2.29+18.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks prepare to face the San Antonio Spurs, keep an eye on Jose Alvarado for a potential breakout performance. While his recent averages of 5 points and 2.4 rebounds may not scream star power, Alvarado has shown flashes of capability, particularly when playing away. Historically, he's managed to notch around 6 points per game against the Spurs, which hints at a solid matchup for him. His recent numbers suggest he's due for a surge, especially considering he's hit the Over on his points and rebounds line in 5 of his last 12 away games. The Spurs' defense has its vulnerabilities, and with the Knicks needing a lift, Alvarado may find himself more involved. When you combine the potential for increased minutes and the necessity for offensive contributions, betting the Over on Alvarado's 9.5 points plus rebounds feels like a savvy move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Jose Alvarado — 2024-25 season averages

Over 56 games in the 2024-25 season, Jose Alvarado averaged 10.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists in 24.4 minutes per game, shooting 39.2% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range.

10.3
PPG
2.4
RPG
4.6
APG
1.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
24.4
MPG
39.2%
FG%
35.9%
3P%

Jose Alvarado — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jose Alvarado has played 27.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.0
MPG (L5)
17.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jose Alvarado — home vs away scoring

At home Jose Alvarado averages 11.3 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.3
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Jose Alvarado — scoring by opponent

Jose Alvarado scores most against the HOU, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
HOU
10.7
SA
9.2
LAL
8.1
SAC
7.9
PHX
7.5
OKC

Jose Alvarado — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jose Alvarado has averaged 13.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs OKC341434
11 Aprvs MIA231430
8 Apr@ BKN231614
4 Apr@ LAL282745
2 Apr@ LAC2717210
30 Marvs CHA301254
28 Marvs GS271034
24 Marvs PHI28936
23 Mar@ DET281048
21 Mar@ MIN18912
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.