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Jose Alvarado

New York Knicks

Value call

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) has one live pick today: over 9.5 pts rebs that pays $398 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
8.4 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 43.5% · the book's price implies 25.1% · gap +18.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sat 13 Jun, 8:30 PM ET
Jose Alvarado
over 9.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 +298 (3.98) · $100→$398
Value call
LEANWins about 44 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$39.80 Odds+298
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 44%, the price says 25%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:54AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs43.5%—25.1%2.30+18.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+298)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks travel to take on the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Jose Alvarado. While his recent numbers might not scream "star player," there's a hidden narrative here. Alvarado's averaged just 5 points and 2.4 rebounds over his last five games, but against the Spurs, he has shown some promise, particularly away where he's managed around 6 points and nearly 3 rebounds. With San Antonio's defense struggling to contain quick guards, Alvarado could find opportunities galore. His overall hit rate for points and rebounds at 9.5 may seem daunting, but with a model edge of over 18%, he's primed to exceed expectations. In a game where the pace is expected to be high, look for Alvarado to step up and hit that over, turning what seems like a modest total into a solid bet for savvy players.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Jose Alvarado — 2024-25 season averages

Over 56 games in the 2024-25 season, Jose Alvarado averaged 10.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists in 24.4 minutes per game, shooting 39.2% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range.

10.3
PPG
2.4
RPG
4.6
APG
1.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
24.4
MPG
39.2%
FG%
35.9%
3P%

Jose Alvarado — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jose Alvarado has played 27.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.0
MPG (L5)
17.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jose Alvarado — home vs away scoring

At home Jose Alvarado averages 11.3 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.3
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Jose Alvarado — scoring by opponent

Jose Alvarado scores most against the HOU, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
HOU
10.7
SA
9.2
LAL
8.1
SAC
7.9
PHX
7.5
OKC

Jose Alvarado — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jose Alvarado has averaged 13.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs OKC341434
11 Aprvs MIA231430
8 Apr@ BKN231614
4 Apr@ LAL282745
2 Apr@ LAC2717210
30 Marvs CHA301254
28 Marvs GS271034
24 Marvs PHI28936
23 Mar@ DET281048
21 Mar@ MIN18912
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over +298 ✗ MISS
10 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Points 3.5 Over +168 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Points 2.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Saturday 13 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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