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Reed Sheppard

Houston Rockets

+20.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 15.5 -112 (1.89)
+20.2% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
Sat 4 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
73.1%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+20.2%
Predicted Value
11.9 Points

AI Analysis

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Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 15.5 Points (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Reed Sheppard. While he's shown flashes of scoring ability, the numbers suggest a different narrative for this matchup. Averaging just 15.6 points over his last five games, his performance dips to 9 points when facing the Jazz, a team that has effectively contained him in the past. At home, he's managed a modest 15 points against Utah, and with an expected stat value of just 11.93, the under on 15.5 looks enticing. The Rockets will likely leverage their depth, reducing Sheppard's scoring opportunities. With a solid hit rate of 7 out of 10 games going under this total, it's hard to ignore the trends. Given these factors, betting the under on Sheppard's points feels like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Points 15.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Points 16.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Reed Sheppard is Under 15.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets on Saturday 4 April at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.