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Reed Sheppard

Houston Rockets

Value call

Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: under 20.5 pts asts that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
14.3 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.5% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +22.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 8:30 PM ET
Reed Sheppard
under 20.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 20.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Reed Sheppard is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts83.5%—61.3%1.20+22.2%

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AI Analysis

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Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Reed Sheppard heads into this matchup against the Lakers, the numbers suggest a quiet night is on the horizon. Averaging just 12 points and 2 assists over his last five games, he's been well below the 20.5 mark we're eyeing. Even when looking at his away performances, where he typically scores 10.8 points and dishes out around 2.6 assists, it becomes clear that exceeding this total will be a tough ask.His history against the Lakers isn't particularly encouraging either, with an average of just 12.2 points and 3 assists in their last matchup. Plus, he's hit the under in 5 of his last 6 games and has maintained an immaculate away hit rate where he's gone under in all 8 of his last attempts. With the Lakers' defense tightening up, it's hard to envision Sheppard breaking out for a big game here. Betting on the under feels like the savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Reed Sheppard has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 14.5 Under +104 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 22.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
03 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts — — — Pending
03 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts — — — Pending
03 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Reed Sheppard is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 18 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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