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NBA

Reed Sheppard

Houston Rockets

+22.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Under 20.5 -159 (1.63)
+22.2% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
Model Probability
83.5%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+22.2%
Predicted Value
14.3 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

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Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Reed Sheppard heads into this matchup against the Lakers, the numbers suggest a quiet night is on the horizon. Averaging just 12 points and 2 assists over his last five games, he's been well below the 20.5 mark we're eyeing. Even when looking at his away performances, where he typically scores 10.8 points and dishes out around 2.6 assists, it becomes clear that exceeding this total will be a tough ask.His history against the Lakers isn't particularly encouraging either, with an average of just 12.2 points and 3 assists in their last matchup. Plus, he's hit the under in 5 of his last 6 games and has maintained an immaculate away hit rate where he's gone under in all 8 of his last attempts. With the Lakers' defense tightening up, it's hard to envision Sheppard breaking out for a big game here. Betting on the under feels like the savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 22.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Points 16.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Points Pending
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (6/8). The latest model pick for Reed Sheppard is Under 20.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.