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NBA

Reed Sheppard

Houston Rockets

+14.9% Edge
🔥 15 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 3.5 -192 (1.52)
+14.9% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
Tue 17 Mar, 1:30AM
Model Probability
80.7%
Implied Probability
65.8%
Model Edge
+14.9%
Predicted Value
1.3 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Reed Sheppard has been a standout player for the Rockets, but tonight's matchup against the Lakers presents a compelling case for betting the under on his rebounds at 3.5. Despite playing at home, where he's been incredibly efficient, he simply hasn't been a rebounding force lately. In fact, he's hit the under in all 15 of his last games, showcasing a consistent trend that's hard to ignore. The Lakers are a tough defensive squad that tends to limit opponents' second-chance opportunities, which means Sheppard might find it challenging to rack up those boards. With the Rockets' overall rebounding strategy focusing more on perimeter play and less on crashing the glass, we can expect Sheppard to struggle to reach that 4-rebound mark. Given these factors, targeting the under feels like a savvy play in this high-stakes matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (16 picks) 81.3% (13/16)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 3.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 3.5 Under -185 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 3.5 Under -185 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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