Zach Thornton (NYM) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Braves gear up to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Zach Thornton, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he struggles to find the strike zone. While Thornton has shown flashes of brilliance this season, the Braves' offense has been exceptionally aggressive, ranking among the top teams in the league for contact rate. They're not just making contact; they're putting the ball in play with authority, which can be tough on a strikeout pitcher.
Historically, Thornton has had mixed results against patient lineups like Atlanta's, often falling short of that elusive strikeout mark. With a model prediction hovering around two strikeouts, it’s clear the odds favor the under on 4.5. Plus, the Braves are well aware of his tendencies and will likely adjust their approach accordingly. Given this matchup dynamic, backing the under seems like a savvy move for Wednesday night’s showdown.