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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Callihan is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +25.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 2:46AM UTC
MLB

Tyler Callihan

MLB

+25.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -119 (1.84)
+25.8% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.1%
Implied Probability
54.3%
Model Edge
+25.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits80.1%54.3%1.25+25.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Callihan (NA) Under 0.5 Hits (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees gear up to face the Pirates, all eyes will be on Tyler Callihan, but betting on him to record a hit feels like a stretch. Callihan has struggled against right-handed pitchers, with an underwhelming average that doesn’t inspire confidence, particularly against a Yankees rotation that's been firing on all cylinders lately. Looking at the numbers, the Yankees' pitching staff has excelled at limiting hits—especially at home, where they’ve stifled opposing bats. With an implied probability of just 54.3% on Callihan’s chances, it’s clear that the odds aren’t in his favor. The Pirates' lineup has been inconsistent, and while they have their moments, facing off against a powerhouse like the Yankees usually brings out the best in pitchers. Given Callihan's recent performance and the tough matchup ahead, taking the under on his hits seems like a savvy play in this high-stakes showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tyler Callihan is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Callihan is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 22 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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