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Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
MLB
Shota Imanaga has one live pick today: Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 3.5 that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
For the numbers: our chance 49.7% · before adjusting for past results 53.8% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap -11.7%.
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Chicago Cubs play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shota Imanaga Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-159). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Shota Imanaga's pitcher hits allowed line is 3.5, best over price -196 across 1 book.
Shota Imanaga's pitcher earned runs line is 1.5, best over price +100 across 4 books.
Shota Imanaga's pitcher hits allowed line is 4.5, best over price +125 across 6 books.
Shota Imanaga is averaging 4.8 hits, 1.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Shota Imanaga has gone over 2.5 SO in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Shota Imanaga is averaging 4.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.4 in away games.
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Shota Imanaga is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shota Imanaga is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of -7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs on Tuesday 22 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.
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