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Shota Imanaga

CHC

Value call

Shota Imanaga has one live pick today: over 4.5 hits allowed that pays $227 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
5.0 hits allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.9% · before adjusting for past results 49.9% · the book's price implies 44.1% · gap -1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Tue 22 Sep, 7:40 PM ET
Shota Imanaga
over 4.5 hits allowed
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 4.5 +127 (2.27) · $100→$227
Value call
LEANWins about 43 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.70 Odds+127
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shota Imanaga is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:59PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 142 of 244 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed49.9%42.9%44.1%2.36+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+127)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+127). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed 3.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
22 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
22 Sep 26 Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Shota Imanaga (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shota Imanaga is Over 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs on Tuesday 22 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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