Ryan O'Hearn (KCR) Under 2.5 Hits (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pirates welcome the Nationals to PNC Park, all eyes will be on Ryan O'Hearn, particularly with the line set at 2.5 hits. Recent trends suggest this might be a lofty expectation. O'Hearn has been struggling to find consistent contact, especially against left-handed pitchers, and with the Nationals rolling out a solid southpaw, his chances of racking up hits look dim.
Pittsburgh's pitching staff has found its rhythm lately, boasting a 3.45 ERA over the past two weeks, which certainly doesn’t favor O'Hearn’s chances. Moreover, the soft contact rate against lefties has crept up, further feeding into this narrative. The underlying stats reflect a player who’s likely to linger around one hit rather than break through for multiple. As such, betting the 'under' here feels like a smart angle, leveraging recent performances and matchup dynamics that tell a compelling story in favor of a quiet night for O'Hearn.