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MLB

Mitch Keller

PIT

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06)
+3.1% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Sat 6 Sep, 10:40PM
Model Probability
97.4%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mitch Keller's recent performance data strongly supports the bet on Over 2.5 hits allowed. Over his last five games, Keller's average hits allowed, both overall and at home, surpass the betting line of 2.5. His overall average hits allowed is 5.6, while at home it's slightly higher at 5.8. His performance against the Brewers is even more telling, with an average of 6.8 hits allowed. Additionally, Keller's innings pitched and outs averages suggest he's likely to be on the mound long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. His current hit streaks, overall and at home, further underscore his tendency to allow hits. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Keller allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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