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Luis Arraez

MIN

Value call

Luis Arraez has one live pick today: over 2.5 total bases that pays $510 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
1.9 total bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.2% · before adjusting for past results 29.4% · the book's price implies 19.6% · gap +18.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep, 6:05 PM ET
Luis Arraez
over 2.5 total bases
Batter - Total Bases Over 2.5 +410 (5.10) · $100→$510
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 38 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$51.00 Odds+410
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Arraez is Over 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 20%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:32AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases29.4%38.2%19.6%2.62+9.8%

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AI Analysis

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Luis Arraez (MIN) Over 2.5 Total Bases (+410)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Philadelphia Phillies play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Arraez (MIN) Over 2.5 Total Bases (+410). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at +410 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $51 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
24 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luis Arraez (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Arraez is Over 2.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.8% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 24 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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