Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Arraez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 1.5
-323 (1.31)
+13.1% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 10:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
76.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 89.5% | — | 76.3% | 1.12 | +13.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 10/10 |
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Luis Arraez (MIA) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Arraez (MIA) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-323). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -200 Game log vs U 1.57 / 9 hit
Luis Arraez MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -200.
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -125 Game log vs U 1.56 / 10 hit
Luis Arraez MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -125.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -164 Game log vs U 2.51 / 3 hit
Luis Arraez MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 2.5 at -164.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -208 Game log vs U 0.51 / 4 hit
Luis Arraez MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -208.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -133 Game log vs U 0.51 / 3 hit
Luis Arraez MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -133.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -500 Game log vs U 0.53 / 4 hit
Luis Arraez MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -500.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Luis Arraez MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
Luis Arraez MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Luis Arraez MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 05 Aug 26 |
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
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Luis Arraez (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Arraez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 6 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.