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The latest Bet Better model pick for Garrett Stubbs is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 9:31AM UTC
MLB

Garrett Stubbs

MLB

Value call

Garrett Stubbs has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 that pays $131 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
Value call
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.9% · before adjusting for past results 77.5% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap -12.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored77.5%63.9%76.3%1.42+1.2%

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Garrett Stubbs Under 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (-323)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds for Garrett Stubbs to score a run are pretty low, and our numbers suggest this is a solid pick. He's been hitting about 1.7 times his usual rate lately, but it's still tough for him to cross home plate every game. The Phillies are up against the Mets, who have won 6 of their last 10, and they've been solid against left-handed pitchers like Stubbs. The biggest risk is that Stubbs is averaging only 0.7 hits per game over his last three outings, meaning he might not get enough chances to score. Plus, the Mets have been known to hold it down at home, making it even harder for Stubbs to get that run. While things look good for our numbers, it's always a bit tricky when it comes to scoring.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (27 picks) 81.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -217 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
17 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
17 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Walks — — — Pending
26 Aug 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Garrett Stubbs is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 81.5% on tracked Garrett Stubbs picks. The latest model pick for Garrett Stubbs is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Thursday 17 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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