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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for David Fry is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +22.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 7:22AM UTC
MLB

David Fry

CLE

+22.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -118 (1.85)
+22.0% Edge
Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Fri 24 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+22.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits76.1%54.1%1.31+22.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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David Fry (CLE) Under 0.5 Hits (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rays welcome the Guardians to Tropicana Field, the spotlight is on David Fry, who finds himself in a tricky spot against Tampa Bay's ace, who has been absolutely dominant lately. With an impressive 3.10 ERA, he’s been stifling opposing bats, and Cleveland’s lineup has struggled against right-handed pitchers, managing just a .225 batting average in recent outings. Fry, in particular, has had a challenging stretch at the plate, posting a mere .190 average when facing top-tier pitching. The pressure ramps up further with the Rays’ stellar defense, which has been adept at silencing hitters and limiting hard contact. With Fry’s hit probability sitting at just 31%, the under on 0.5 hits is looking enticing. Given the circumstances, it’s hard to see him breaking through against a formidable Rays staff, making the under a savvy bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs TBRU 0.5 -118+22.0% edge
50%hit L10
Streak2

David Fry MLB hits: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs TBR. Current line U 0.5 at -118 (+22.0% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

David Fry MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

David Fry MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2064%
O 0.560%
O 1.530%
O 2.520%

David Fry MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

David Fry MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

David Fry MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

David Fry MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

David Fry (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for David Fry is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 24 July at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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