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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Nimmo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +10.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:15PM UTC
MLB

Brandon Nimmo

NYM

+10.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+10.0% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:38AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+10.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks82.4%72.5%1.21+10.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Nimmo (NYM) Under 0.5 Walks (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Nimmo (NYM) Under 0.5 Walks (-263). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

7 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameO 0.5 -238
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%

Brandon Nimmo MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line O 0.5 at -238.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -167
90%hit L10
Streak4L2090%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 7 hit
2042041

Brandon Nimmo MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -167.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameO 0.5 -312
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
Game log vs O 0.54 / 5 hit
10415

Brandon Nimmo MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line O 0.5 at -312.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -244
80%hit L10
Streak2L2080%
Game log vs U 0.54 / 6 hit
000103

Brandon Nimmo MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -244.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -114
60%hit L10
L2060%
Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
002

Brandon Nimmo MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -114.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -625
100%hit L10
Streak10L20100%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 4 hit
1000

Brandon Nimmo MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -625.

Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -263
90%hit L10
Streak2L2090%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
010000

Brandon Nimmo MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -263.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Brandon Nimmo MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
000

Brandon Nimmo MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Brandon Nimmo MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under +109 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Nimmo (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Nimmo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday 11 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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