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Danny Jansen

TOR

Value call

Danny Jansen has one live pick today: over 2.5 hits that pays $3,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.8 hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.4% · before adjusting for past results 4.6% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +4.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Danny Jansen
over 2.5 hits
Batter - Hits Over 2.5 +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$310.00 Odds+3000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Danny Jansen is Over 2.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 10:00PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 144 of 249 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Jansen underwent surgery Wednesday to remove a bone growth from his right hand, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.
updated Oct 9, 8:22PM UTC · 13d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits4.6%7.4%3.2%13.58+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers: Danny Jansen Over 2.5 Batter - Hits (+3000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Danny Jansen has been struggling lately, averaging no hits in his last three games. Despite that, the Minnesota Twins have been on a bit of a winning streak, taking four of their last six games. The Twins' home park, Target Field, is known for being friendly to hitters, and their offense has been decent lately. Betting on Jansen to get over 2.5 hits is a big ask, especially since he's not hitting well right now. The Texas Rangers also play in a tough park for scoring, which could keep things close. It's a long shot, but if he finds his groove, it could pay off nicely.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Singles 0.5 Over +192 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Singles — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Danny Jansen (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Danny Jansen is Over 2.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins on Sunday 27 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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