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Corey Seager

TEX

Value call

Corey Seager has one live pick today: over 1.5 home runs that pays $3,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.2 home runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 4.3% · before adjusting for past results 3.9% · the book's price implies 2.8% · gap +1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Corey Seager
over 1.5 home runs
Batter - Home Runs Over 1.5 +3500 (36.00) · $100→$3,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$360.00 Odds+3500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Corey Seager is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 3:28AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Seager underwent surgery Tuesday to remove a bone spur from his right elbow, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.
updated Oct 9, 7:21PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs3.9%4.3%2.8%23.17+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers: Corey Seager Over 1.5 Batter - Home Runs (+3500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Corey Seager has been struggling lately, only getting hits at about a third of his usual rate and averaging over two strikeouts per game in his last few outings. However, he's a talented player and the Twins have allowed a fair number of home runs, especially at their home field, Target Field. With the Twins winning four of their last six games, they could be providing good hitting opportunities. Betting on Seager to hit over 1.5 home runs is a long shot, but the odds are tempting at +3500. The biggest risk here is his recent form, which hasn't been great. Still, sometimes players have breakout games when you least expect it, and this could be one of those moments.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +192 ✗ MISS
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Walks — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Corey Seager (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Corey Seager is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins on Sunday 27 September at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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