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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ezequiel Duran is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +2.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:44PM UTC
MLB

Ezequiel Duran

TEX

+2.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+2.7% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:38AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs79.7%76.9%1.26+2.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Ezequiel Duran (TEX) Under 0.5 RBIs (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Angels play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ezequiel Duran (TEX) Under 0.5 RBIs (-333). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

5 markets live
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs LAAU 1.5 -137
60%hit L10
L2060%
Game log vs U 1.52 / 4 hit
1702

Ezequiel Duran MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 1.5 at -137.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs LAAU 0.5 -333
70%hit L10
L2075%
Game log vs U 0.54 / 6 hit
001001

Ezequiel Duran MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 0.5 at -333.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs LAAU 0.5 -192
50%hit L10
L2050%
Game log vs U 0.51 / 4 hit
0111

Ezequiel Duran MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 0.5 at -192.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs LAAU 0.5 -132
60%hit L10
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Ezequiel Duran MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 0.5 at -132.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs LAAU 0.5 -667
70%hit L10
L2085%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 5 hit
00000

Ezequiel Duran MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs LAA. Current line U 0.5 at -667.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak5L2065%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%

Ezequiel Duran MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 5 · lo 0
050

Ezequiel Duran MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Ezequiel Duran MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Ezequiel Duran MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -357 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ezequiel Duran (TEX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ezequiel Duran is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday 11 August at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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