Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alejandro Osuna is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 70%, edge +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 22, 4:03AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+12.9% Edge
Texas Rangers
@
Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sat 1 Aug, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 840 of 1,690 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
83 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 83.4% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +12.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 83.4% | — | 70.4% | 1.20 | +12.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Alejandro Osuna Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Houston Astros play Texas Rangers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alejandro Osuna Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-238). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Alejandro Osuna has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%
Alejandro Osuna is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alejandro Osuna is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros on Saturday 1 August at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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