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The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Seigler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 12:47PM UTC
MLB

Anthony Seigler

MLB

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -208 (1.48)
+15.7% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
83.2%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases83.2%—67.6%1.20+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Seigler (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on July 21, all eyes will be on Anthony Seigler, but betting the under on his total bases feels like the right play. While Seigler has shown flashes of potential, he’s struggled recently against left-handed pitching, hitting just .220 in his last 30 at-bats against southpaws. With the Red Sox's ace on the mound, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate and limits hard contact, Seigler could find himself in a tough spot. The Sox's bullpen has also been formidable, making late-game rallies difficult. Add in the fact that Baltimore's lineup has been inconsistent, and it’s easy to see why a total of 1.5 bases feels a touch optimistic. With the odds stacked against him, taking the under not only aligns with recent trends but also capitalizes on a matchup that doesn’t favor Seigler's current form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
12 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Anthony Seigler is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Seigler is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox on Tuesday 21 July at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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