Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Minnesota Twins

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:28PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Target Field, Minneapolis
Outdoor
Sat 7 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
11
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6.5 Team Total +390

The model graded 16 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $490 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 7 Jun 2025, 6:10PM at Target Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.5%
The price says20.4%
Best price+390
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 6.5 Long-shot40% chance +390
Team Total High89% chance
Team Total Long-shot26% chance
Team Total High94% chance
Team Total Long-shot16% chance
Team Total Long-shot8% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 92%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 94%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 1 prop Highup to 95%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
6.5
+ 10 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 11 game markets and 5 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Josh Smith 2BOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Max Scherzer SP

Minnesota Twins

  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Joe Ryan SPOut
  • Austin Martin RFOut
  • Mike Paredes SPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Zebby Matthews SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Chris Paddack MIN Pitcher - Walks
Chris Paddack MIN Pitcher - Strikeouts
Kevin Gausman TOR Pitcher - Walks
George Springer TOR Batter - Stolen Bases
Kevin Gausman TOR Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMinnesota TwinsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

Minnesota Twins moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineMinnesota Twins run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

Minnesota Twins spread form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Minnesota Twins total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMinnesota Twins team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

Minnesota Twins team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins — 11 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

11
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins — recent results

Minnesota Twins have won 1 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 3 of their last 5.

Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7CHWHome
L2–3CHWHome
L4–7ATHAway
L2–4ATHAway
W9–6ATHAway
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3SEAHome
W8–1SEAHome
L2–13KCHome
W3–0KCHome
L3–5KCHome

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Minnesota Twins won 4, Toronto Blue Jays won 5.

DateMinnesota TwinsToronto Blue JaysWinner
May 343Minnesota Twins
May 237Toronto Blue Jays
May 2411Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 3071Minnesota Twins
Apr 1282Minnesota Twins
Apr 1174Minnesota Twins
Apr 10410Toronto Blue Jays
Mar 2012Toronto Blue Jays
Mar 1316Toronto Blue Jays

Who’s out or in doubt

24 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Joe Ryan SPOUT
Austin Martin RFOUT
Mike Paredes SPOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Josh Smith 2BOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Joe Mantiply RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for George Springer in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice, primarily due to Springer's recent performance data. Over his last five games, Springer's overall and away stolen base averages are both 0.4, indicating he rarely steals more than half a base per game. His stolen base average against the Minnesota Twins is even lower, standing at zero. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, are at just one game, suggesting he is not in peak form. Additionally, the Minnesota Twins have shown a capability to catch out runners, with an average of 0.2 caught steals over the last five games. These statistics collectively suggest that Springer is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Twins, or as Twins vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Saturday 7 June 2025 at Target Field. The model has generated 11 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Toronto Blue Jays 19–16 across the last 35 meetings · these games average 8.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins4–3Minnesota Twins
2 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins4–11Toronto Blue Jays
1 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins3–7Toronto Blue Jays
30 Apr 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins7–1Minnesota Twins
12 Apr 2026Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays2–8Minnesota Twins
11 Apr 2026Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays4–7Minnesota Twins
10 Apr 2026Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays10–4Toronto Blue Jays
20 Mar 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins1–2Toronto Blue Jays
13 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays6–1Toronto Blue Jays
27 Aug 2025Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays9–8Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.