On Monday 14 September 2026, Manchester City play Sunderland in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 13.5 Total Corners, priced at -385 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Under 13.5 Total Corners (-385)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Manchester City welcomes Sunderland, a closer look at their recent form suggests a compelling case for betting on under 13.5 corners. City’s attacking prowess has been apparent, averaging 16.8 shots at home, yet they’ve managed only 1.4 corners per game lately. Meanwhile, Sunderland’s away games see a similar pattern; they generate 2.4 corners but have also struggled to capitalize on their opportunities. With City’s defense allowing a mere 0.6 goals at home and Sunderland’s own scoring woes averaging just 1 goal per match recently, it’s likely that this matchup won’t result in a flurry of corner kicks. The stats lean heavily towards a game that’s more tactical than chaotic, and with both teams more focused on controlling possession than launching relentless attacks, the under on corners appears to be a savvy pick.

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Sunderland +2 Goal Handicap (-200)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Manchester City gears up to face Sunderland, the odds might seem stacked against the visitors, but there's compelling reasoning for considering Sunderland with a two-goal handicap. Despite their lackluster record against City, Sunderland has shown glimpses of resilience, managing to score an average of 1.8 goals away while conceding 1.8 in their last five matchups. City’s home dominance is undeniable, with a recent average of 2 goals scored per game, but their defense has allowed 0.6 goals at home recently. What’s intriguing is Sunderland's ability to create chances, averaging 10.4 shots away. With City potentially underestimating them, Sunderland could exploit any lapses, particularly if they can keep it tight. Plus, given the historical context, a two-goal cushion feels like a savvy play—one that acknowledges both teams' recent trends and the unpredictability of the Premier League.

That is how our model reads Manchester City v Sunderland. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article