Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks, November 9, 2026

You can get +110 on Nikola Jokic scoring points and assists combined under 32.5 against the Houston Rockets. Our numbers give this a good chance, mainly because Houston has been letting teams shoot a lot of threes and grab plenty of rebounds. This means Jokic might focus more on passing and rebounding rather than scoring. While he's a star player, the Rockets also force turnovers a bit more than the average team. This could lead to fewer chances for Jokic to rack up his usual stats. The risk here is that Jokic could still have a big game despite the Rockets' defensive style.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 42.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+120)

The bet on Nikola Jokic to score under 42.5 points, rebounds, and assists looks tempting at +120 odds. Our numbers really like this pick because the Houston Rockets have been tough on players like Jokic, allowing fewer overall points and rebounds than many teams. They also let opponents shoot a lot of threes, which can shift the focus away from inside play. One risk to consider is that Jokic can be very effective when he's on, and he's capable of putting up big numbers. However, with the Rockets' strong defensive stats, it's more likely he'll have a quieter game. Keep an eye on how the game flows, but this pick stands strong based on the matchup.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 18.5 Rebs + Asts (+130)

The odds on Nikola Jokic to have under 18.5 rebounds and assists look good at +130. Our numbers think he's a strong favorite to stay below that mark against the Houston Rockets. The Rockets allow a lot of three-point attempts and rebounds, but Jokic might not need to rack up those stats in this matchup. Houston's defense could mean fewer chances for Jokic to pile up those numbers. Plus, the Nuggets as a team also don't force many turnovers, which could lead to less action overall. It's worth noting that Jokic could have a big game, so there's a solid chance he might go over.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.