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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Tue 10 Nov 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Jessica Pegula
VS
Marta Kostyuk

Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction & Picks · Tue 10 Nov

Our model graded 2 markets for Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk and backs Jessica Pegula -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $187.

1
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Jessica Pegula
to win by 3+ games
Jessica Pegula -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70Best price-115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.7%
The price says51.4%

The model graded 2 markets for Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 10 Nov 2026, 3:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Jessica Pegula -2.5 Lean50% chance -115
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 64% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Jessica Pegula
-2.5
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Jessica Pegula

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Marta Kostyuk

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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The preview

Written 11 Nov

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks

On November 10, 2026 our model has run Jessica Pegula at Marta Kostyuk and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jessica Pegula to win the match (-185), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula: Jessica Pegula to win the match (-185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Marta Kostyuk faces Jessica Pegula at Finals on Tuesday 10 November 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Jessica Pegula wins the match. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.40 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Jessica Pegula is favored to win against Marta Kostyuk because she has been playing well recently, winning 70% of her last ten matches. Her serve is strong, winning a high percentage of points on her first serve. Additionally, she has a good record on this surface, which gives her an advantage in this matchup. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula: Jessica Pegula -2.5 Game Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Jessica Pegula to win by at least three games at odds of -115 seems like a solid choice. Our numbers see this matchup against Marta Kostyuk as nearly even, but Pegula's experience gives her a slight advantage. She has been playing well lately, which boosts her chances of covering this handicap. The biggest risk here is how close the two players are in skill. Kostyuk can be tough, especially on her home court, which might make it a tighter match than expected. Still, Pegula has the tools to pull ahead and finish strong, making this bet worth considering.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

1 market live
Game HandicapNext match · Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula -2.5 -115
57%model cover %
1.94fair price
PickJessica Pegula -2.5Model56.9%Fair1.94Odds-115ConfidenceLEAN

Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Jessica Pegula -2.5 at -115, fair price 1.94; our model makes it 56.9% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Jessica Pegula @ Marta Kostyuk — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Jessica Pegula at Marta Kostyuk — 1 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Jessica Pegula @ Marta Kostyuk — model preview

Marta Kostyuk v Jessica Pegula, 11 November 2026. Top of the list: Jessica Pegula to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On November 10, 2026 our model has run Jessica Pegula at Marta Kostyuk and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jessica Pegula to win the match (-185), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Pegula vs Kostyuk, or as Kostyuk vs Pegula. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 10 November 2026. The model has generated 1 game pick and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Jessica Pegula plays Marta Kostyuk on Tuesday 10 November 2026. It is listed for about 3:00 PM ET in Indian Wells. It is a WTA Tour match.

Where they last met

  • 26 Apr 2026Marta Kostyuk beat Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4 at Mutua Madrid Open
  • 10 Jan 2026Marta Kostyuk beat Jessica Pegula 6-0 6-3 at Brisbane International
  • 1 Oct 2025Jessica Pegula beat Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-7 6-1 at China Open

Jessica Pegula: last 5 matches

  1. 14 Oct 2026Lostvs Jelena Ostapenko 2-6 7-6 6-3Wuhan Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 11 Sep 2026Lostvs Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 6-2US Open · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 9 Sep 2026Wonvs Emma Navarro 3-6 6-4 6-3US Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 7 Sep 2026Wonvs Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-4US Open · 4th Round · Hard
  5. 4 Sep 2026Wonvs Leylah Fernandez 1-6 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard

Marta Kostyuk: last 5 matches

  1. 21 Oct 2026Lostvs Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 stopped earlyNingbo Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 13 Oct 2026Lostvs Maria Sakkari 4-6 6-2 6-2Wuhan Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 18 Sep 2026Lostvs Liudmila Samsonova 4-6 6-2 7-5Guadalajara Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 17 Sep 2026Wonvs Taylor Townsend not playedGuadalajara Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 6 Sep 2026Lostvs Linda Noskova 7-5 5-7 6-4US Open · 4th Round · Hard

Quick answers

When is Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk? Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk is on Tuesday 10 November 2026. It is listed for about 3:00 PM ET in Indian Wells.

Who won the last Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula match? Marta Kostyuk won their last meeting 6-1 6-4 at Mutua Madrid Open on 26 April 2026.

How have Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk done lately? Jessica Pegula won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Marta Kostyuk won 0 and lost 4 of the last 4 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 7 meetings
Jessica Pegula 4–3 across the last 7 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
26 Apr 2026Marta Kostyuk6-1 6-4Mutua Madrid Open · 3rd RoundClay
10 Jan 2026Marta Kostyuk6-0 6-3Brisbane International · SemifinalsHard
1 Oct 2025Jessica Pegula6-3 6-7 6-1China Open · 4th RoundHard
24 Mar 2025Jessica Pegula6-2 6-3Miami Open · 4th RoundHard
3 Mar 2024Marta Kostyuk7-6 6-1San Diego Open · SemifinalsHard
20 Jan 2023Jessica Pegula6-0 6-2Australian Open · 3rd RoundHard
17 Aug 2022Jessica Pegula6-7 6-1 6-2Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open · 2nd RoundHard
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