Brook Lopez is a force to reckon with on the court, especially when it comes to his shot-blocking prowess. Now, you might be thinking, "Over 0.5 blocks in the Warriors vs Clippers game? That seems too easy!" But let's lay out the facts. When you look at Lopez's recent performance, he's been swatting shots left, right, and center. With an average of 1 block per game over his last five overall, and a whopping 2.2 blocks per game specifically at home, it's clear that he's in his element on the Clippers' turf. Factor in his impressive average of 2 blocks against the Warriors themselves, and this prop bet becomes even more enticing. So, when Lopez hits the court on March 3rd, expect him to do what he does best - tower over the opposition and send their shots sailing. Don't miss this chance to wager on a proven shot-blocker like Lopez.
Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 3.5 Assists (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingWhen you look into Al Horford's recent performances, it's clear there's a pattern that points to a solid under bet on his assists for the upcoming Warriors-Clippers matchup. In his last five outings, he's only been averaging a modest 1.4 assists per game. Even when factoring in home advantage, his assist average only slightly kicks up to two. Now, throw in the fact that Horford's only been able to muster an average of three assists against this Warriors lineup, and the case for backing the under on 3.5 assists becomes even more robust. The numbers don't lie - in the last 12 games, the under has hit 10 times. And in the last 20 home games? A staggering 18 out of 20. Horford is a solid player, but the figures suggest he's not going to light anyone up with his passing in this contest.
Brook Lopez (Milwaukee Bucks) Over 8.5 Points (-132)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingIf you've been watching Brook Lopez lately, you'll know that he's been putting up some stellar performances. Particularly against the Golden State Warriors, where he's been averaging a cool 12.2 points in their last 5 matchups. That's significantly higher than the 8.5 line we're looking at. His scorecard is even more impressive when you consider his away performance, with an average of 10.8 points. This guy really knows how to turn on the style when he's on the road!And if you're worried about his overall 5-point average in the last 5 games, don't be. He's hit the over on this bet 14 times out of the last 16 away games. The numbers speak loudly, folks. Brook Lopez is more than capable of going over 8.5 points against the Warriors. So, let's ride the Lopez wave and place our bets on a high-scoring game from him come Tuesday.
Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 7.5 Points (-132)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingWhen you look at the Clippers versus Warriors match up this Tuesday, a compelling bet to consider is Kris Dunn going under 7.5 points. Recently, Dunn hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. The averages from his last five games tell the story: he's put up just 5.8 points overall and 7.4 at home. That's a far cry from the 7.5 we're looking at. Even against the Clippers, his average only bumps up marginally to 7.2. The Clippers' tough defense is likely a factor here, only allowing an average of 6 points to their visiting opponents. Plus, in his last six outings, Dunn has hit the under in five. So, while the Warriors' guard might surprise us, the numbers suggest he's more likely to end up below that 7.5 point mark. This bet is backed by a 56.8% implied probability and a reputable 5.3% model edge.
Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 1.5 Steals (-125)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingSettle in, folks, because I'm about to pour some cold water on Kris Dunn, who's stepping onto the court tonight against the Golden State Warriors. You see, Dunn's recent performances have been more fizzle than sizzle, especially when it comes to steals. He's averaged a mere 0.8 steals across his last five games, which is hardly inspiring. Now, let's layer in some context: when Dunn squares off against the Warriors, he's managed to exceed that 1.5 steals line only 2.2 times on average. That's a far cry from the 4 steals the Warriors usually cede to opponents on home turf. Still not convinced? Dunn's hit rate for the last 12 games stands at 8 out of 12, indicating a clear trend toward underperformance. So, I'd put my money on Dunn falling short of that 1.5 steals mark tonight.