Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat) Under 5.5 Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Miami Heat gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes will be on Bam Adebayo, but not necessarily for his playmaking. Taking the under on Adebayo's assists at 5.5 feels like the right call here. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 2.6 assists, which drops to 3.6 when he's on the road. Historically, against the Cavaliers, his assist numbers sit at about 4.4, but even that's a touch inflated considering he's only hit above 5.5 once in his last six outings. Cleveland's defense tends to stifle opposing playmakers, and Adebayo's hit rate for assists has been a solid 20 for 20 away from home, but that streak may not hold against a strong Cavs' unit. Expect Adebayo to focus more on his scoring and rebounding, leaving his playmaking a bit short tonight. A smart move here is to back

Davion Mitchell (Miami Heat) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-213)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Davion Mitchell's three-point shooting against the Miami Heat, the numbers tell a compelling story that leads us to target the under on 2.5 makes. In his last five games, he's averaging just 1.4 threes overall, and even when you narrow it down to his away performances, that number only climbs modestly to 1.8. Against the Heat specifically, he's averaged 1.6 threes, and on the road, that drops to 1.4. What's more, in his last 20 games, he's hit the under in a staggering 17 of them, showcasing a trend that's difficult to ignore. With the Cavaliers on the road in a tough matchup, it's likely he'll struggle to find his rhythm. Considering these factors, taking the under at 2.5 threes seems like a savvy play as Mitchell navigates a challenging night in Miami.

James Harden (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers host the Miami Heat, all eyes will be on James Harden, but it's worth considering an intriguing angle on his rebounding performance. Despite his illustrious career, Harden has averaged just 4.4 rebounds at home over his last five games, well below the 7.5 mark. In fact, against Miami, he's managed only 5.2 boards on his home court recently. With the Cavaliers boasting a strong rebounding presence, it's likely that Harden will be more focused on facilitating play rather than crashing the boards. His recent trend shows he's hit the under in all of his last 10 games, and when playing at home, he's yet to surpass this line in 19 consecutive outings. Given this backdrop, taking the under on Harden's rebounds seems like the smart play as he navigates a crowded paint against a formidable opponent.

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