On Thursday 17 September 2026, Bologna play Torino in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Torino: Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Bologna gears up to take on Torino, the matchup is brimming with intrigue. Recent form has not favored Bologna at home, with a lackluster record of 0-2-3 in their last five, but their historical dominance against Torino—winning three of the last five meetings—paints a different picture. While both teams are struggling offensively, Bologna's average of 1 goal scored at home contrasts sharply with Torino's dismal away performance, where they manage only 0.8 goals per game. Bologna's xG stats give a hint that they’ve been creating opportunities, generating an average of 13.8 shots at home, albeit with some conversion issues. Torino, on the other hand, has shown a worrying trend, failing to score in several recent encounters. With Bologna's edge in head-to-heads and Torino's away woes, betting on Bologna to cover a 2.5 goal handicap feels like a strategic call in this Serie A clash.

Bologna vs Torino: Torino +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Torino, the recent form paints a concerning picture for the home side. They've struggled mightily at home, managing just two draws and three losses in their last five outings, with a meager average of one goal scored per game. Their defense has been leaky, conceding around 1.6 goals per match, and their xG numbers are equally uninspiring—hovering around zero. In contrast, Torino, despite their own inconsistencies, thrive in this matchup historically, winning three of their last five encounters against Bologna. With Torino averaging 1.2 goals over their last five while holding opponents to 1.8, they seem poised to outpace Bologna’s struggling attack. Backing Torino on the alternate handicap of 3.5 could be a savvy move given Bologna's current woes and Torino's edge in recent duels.

Bologna vs Torino: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Bologna gears up to face Torino, the narrative leans heavily towards a defensive battle, making the 'Under 5.5' total goals a compelling wager. Both sides have struggled to find the back of the net lately; Bologna's home scoring average dips to just one goal per game, while Torino’s away tally is even lower at 0.8. Recent form shows a pattern of low-scoring affairs, with Bologna averaging only 1.6 goals conceded at home and Torino not faring much better at 1.4. With expected goals (xG) hovering at zero for both teams in their last five outings, it’s clear that scoring opportunities have been scarce. Moreover, Bologna has a solid record against Torino, winning three of their last five matchups, often in tight encounters. Expect a tactical showdown where defenses prevail, making the under a smart play.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Torino. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article