On Wednesday 16 September 2026, Bologna play Torino in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Bologna vs Torino: Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Torino, the recent trends paint a compelling picture for a Bologna handicap bet. Despite struggling in their last five home games with a record of 0-3-2, they’ve historically had Torino's number, winning three of their last five encounters. Recent performances suggest that although Bologna averages just one goal per game, they’ve been creating a steady stream of chances, recording 13.8 shots at home. On the flip side, Torino has struggled away from home, averaging only 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4. Their inability to generate significant offensive pressure, coupled with Bologna's defensive resilience, hints at a potential rout. Given Bologna's edge in head-to-head matchups, this handicap bet looks quite favorable. Expect Bologna to outclass Torino and cover the 2.5 line comfortably.
Bologna vs Torino: Torino +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
When Bologna hosts Torino, the form books reveal a compelling narrative. Bologna's home record has been dismal, managing just two draws and three losses in their last five matches. Their attacking output has been woeful, averaging a single goal per game while conceding 1.6. In stark contrast, Torino has a solid historical record against Bologna, winning three of their last five encounters. Despite their recent struggles, Torino's xG suggests they’re creating more chances than their goal tally reflects. Bologna's defensive woes, coupled with their inability to score at home, make this match ripe for Torino to capitalize on. With Bologna's last five home performances yielding no wins and poor underlying statistics, backing Torino with a -3.5 handicap appears to be a savvy move. They have the edge in this matchup, and it’s hard to see Bologna being able to keep them at bay.
Bologna vs Torino: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-5000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to face Torino, there's a compelling case for a cautious approach to goal-scoring. Both sides have struggled recently, with Bologna averaging just one goal per game at home while conceding 1.6. Their last five home matches have yielded a meager xG of zero, highlighting a lack of offensive creativity. Torino’s away form isn’t much better; they’ve managed only 0.8 goals per game, with a grim xG suggesting serious trouble breaking down defenses. Historically, Bologna has had the upper hand against Torino, winning three of the last five encounters, but those clashes have rarely been goal-fests. With both teams showing a tendency to grind out results rather than blow open the scoreline, betting on this match to go under 5.5 total goals feels like a smart move, especially considering the low-scoring trends and defensive tendencies on display.
That is how our model reads Bologna v Torino. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article