On Sunday 13 September 2026, Bologna play Torino in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Bologna vs Torino: Bologna +2.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to face Torino, the statistics paint a vivid picture of a match that favors the home side. Despite a shaky home record lately—just two draws and three losses in their last five at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara—Bologna has historically fared well against Torino, winning three of their last five encounters. Torino, on the other hand, is struggling on the road, managing only one win in their last five away fixtures. Their offensive output has been lackluster, averaging just 0.8 goals per game away from home. Bologna’s recent xG and shot statistics suggest they’re due for a breakout, with a consistent shooting average of 13.8 attempts at home. Given Bologna's strong historical record against Torino and the away side's current form, betting on Bologna to cover the 2.5 handicap presents an attractive opportunity.
Bologna vs Torino: Torino +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Torino, the trends are leaning heavily in favor of the visitors. Bologna has struggled at home recently, managing just one win in their last five and averaging a meager 1.2 goals per match. Their recent form reveals a concerning lack of attacking prowess, with an average expected goals (xG) of zero, which is alarming given their substantial shot count. Torino, on the other hand, has shown more resilience despite a rough spell, with an average of 1.4 goals scored in their last five outings. Moreover, their historical dominance over Bologna in recent encounters—winning three of the last five—adds to the confidence in this bet. With Torino's solid defense and Bologna’s dismal home scoring record, betting on Torino to cover the 3.5 handicap looks like a savvy move. Expect Torino to capitalize on Bologna’s struggles and deliver a convincing performance.
Bologna vs Torino: Bologna +1.5 Goal Handicap (-1667)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Torino, the historical edge speaks volumes: they’ve triumphed in three of their last five encounters against the Granata. Despite their recent struggles—just one win in the last five—Bologna's home performances reveal a tenacity that can’t be overlooked. They’ve averaged a respectable 1.2 goals per game, despite a home record that’s seen them yield 1.6 to opponents. Now, consider Torino’s away form; they’re struggling, averaging a mere 0.8 goals while conceding 1.4. The xG numbers for both teams are stagnant, but Bologna’s ability to create 13.8 shots at home, compared to Torino’s 8, suggests they can apply pressure and exploit defensive gaps. With Bologna’s advantage and Torino’s lack of firepower, backing Bologna to cover a 1.5 handicap seems a calculated risk worth taking.
That is how our model reads Bologna v Torino. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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