On Friday 4 September 2026, Bologna play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +1.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -385 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +1.5 Goal Handicap (-385)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Sassuolo, recent form leans heavily in favor of the visitors. Bologna's home record shows a modest 2-1-2 in their last five, struggling to find consistency, evidenced by an average of just 1 goal scored at home while conceding 1.2. Meanwhile, Sassuolo, despite a shaky away form, has faced tougher opponents and managed to keep games competitive, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in away fixtures. Their xG numbers are telling, with Sassuolo creating a decent volume of chances, and they often look more dangerous than their results suggest. Historically, Sassuolo has had the upper hand against Bologna, winning three of their last five encounters. Given Bologna's vulnerabilities and Sassuolo's potential to exploit them, backing Sassuolo with a 1.5 handicap could yield a favorable outcome.

That is how our model reads Bologna v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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