On Friday 21 August 2026, Bologna play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bologna vs Lazio: Over 6.5 Total Corners, priced at -455 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Bologna vs Lazio: Over 6.5 Total Corners (-455)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Bologna hosts Lazio, we're looking at a matchup that promises a flurry of action, especially in terms of corners. Both teams have shown a propensity to push forward, resulting in an average of over 10 shots per game in their last five outings. Bologna, despite their mixed form at home, is generating around 12.2 shots per game, which bodes well for corner creation. Lazio, on the other hand, is adept at counter-attacking, often leading to corners as they exploit defensive lapses. Their recent performances indicate they're not shy about sending in crosses, with an average of 2.4 corners per game when traveling. Given the attacking mindset both sides adopt—coupled with Bologna's home advantage and Lazio's effectiveness on the road—betting on over 6.5 corners appears to be a wise move in what should be an engaging contest filled with attacking intent.
Bologna vs Lazio: Over 7.5 Total Corners (-233)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Bologna prepares to host Lazio, the stage is set for a match that could see a flurry of corners. Both teams have shown a penchant for attacking play, with Bologna averaging 12.2 shots at home and Lazio not far behind with 10 per game. Recent encounters suggest a pattern; in five of their last clashes, corners have frequently exceeded the 7.5 mark. Bologna's home games exhibit a tendency for the ball to spend time in the opposition half, leading to an average of 1.4 corners per match. Meanwhile, Lazio's away form has produced a solid 2.4 corners on average. With both teams pushing forward and creating chances, expect a vibrant contest that not only sees goals but also a high number of corners. Betting on over 7.5 corners here feels like a promising proposition as the stats and recent trends align beautifully.
Bologna vs Lazio: Lazio +0.75 Goal Handicap (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Bologna welcomes Lazio, the recent form hints strongly at a potential Lazio victory. Bologna's home record over the last five matches shows a shaky 1-2-2, averaging just 1 goal per game while conceding 1.4. Their attack seems to lack the cutting edge, which is concerning when they face a Lazio side that’s been robust on the road, with a clean 3-0-2 away record. Lazio has scored an impressive 1.2 goals per away match, while also showcasing a solid defensive record, allowing only 0.8 goals against. Their xG numbers, albeit low for both teams recently, suggest that Lazio has the edge in creating higher-quality chances. Given Bologna's struggles at home and Lazio’s resilience, backing Lazio with a 0.75 handicap could provide a cushion, making this bet a savvy play for Monday’s matchup. With Lazio’s current momentum, they’re poised to secure the points.
That is how our model reads Bologna v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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