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Zach Reid

Essendon

+1.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -238 (1.42)
+1.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 13 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
15.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Zach Reid (Essendon) Over 12.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, let's talk Zach Reid for a sec. The young gun is gearing up for a showdown at the MCG, and the stats are lining up for him to shine. Over his last five home games, Reid has been a disposal machine, averaging a slick 16.6 possessions per game. Plus, he's been a defensive wall, nabbing an average of 6 intercepts per game. Facing off against Hawthorn, a team he's historically carved up for 7.7 disposals on average, Reid is poised to feast. With a current hit streak of 5 games and a solid 81.2% disposal efficiency at home, backing Reid to go Over 12.5 disposals is a smart play. Trust the numbers, back the talent, and watch Reid snag those possessions like a seasoned pro. Let's get this one home!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 25.0% (3/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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