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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Powell is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 77%, edge +5.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:27PM UTC
AFL

Tom Powell

North Melbourne

+5.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+5.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
21.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.3% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +5.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.3%76.9%1.21+5.4%

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AI Analysis

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Tom Powell (North Melbourne) Over 16.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to go over their disposal line, Tom Powell stands out like a beacon in the upcoming clash between North Melbourne and Richmond. Powell has been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up significant numbers. Over his last five home games, he's been a disposal magnet, averaging 17.6 disposals per game. Against Richmond specifically, he's elevated his game even further, averaging 20 disposals in their recent encounters. With an impressive contested possessions average of 4.4 and a solid disposal efficiency of 70.5%, Powell is primed to make a significant impact in this game. His ability to find space, generate metres gained, and create scoring opportunities makes the Over 16.5 disposals line seem like a golden opportunity to capitalize on his on-field prowess. Trust in Powell to deliver the goods and snag a win for your betting slip.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tom Powell averaged 20.1 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

20.1
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.7
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Tom Powell recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn8004
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs20027
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles26272
3 Aug 24Richmond21188
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats34076
21 Jul 24Carlton11023
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans15053
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS22054
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs22052
22 Jun 24Melbourne18022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tom Powell (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Powell is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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