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AFL

Tom Powell

North Melbourne

Value call

Tom Powell (North Melbourne) has one live pick today: over 18.5 disposals that pays $162 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
21.1 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 70.1% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +8.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 1:10 PM AEST
Tom Powell
over 18.5 disposals
Disposals Over 18.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.20 Odds-161
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Powell is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 8:33AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%—61.7%1.43+8.4%

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AI Analysis

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Tom Powell (North Melbourne) Over 18.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing an AFL player prop, you want a young gun who's not afraid to make his mark. Tom Powell fits that bill perfectly. The stats tell a compelling story: in his last five home games, Powell has been a midfield dynamo, averaging 17.6 disposals, with a solid contested possessions average of 4.4. Facing Richmond, a team he's had success against with an average of 20 disposals, Powell's recent form is red hot. With a hit streak of 2 at home and a knack for finding the footy, he's poised to exceed the 18.5 disposal line. Trust in Powell's ability to drive North Melbourne forward and snag this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tom Powell averaged 20.1 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

20.1
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.7
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Tom Powell recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn8004
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs20027
10 Aug 24West Coast Eagles26272
3 Aug 24Richmond21188
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats34076
21 Jul 24Carlton11023
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans15053
6 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS22054
29 Jun 24Western Bulldogs22052
22 Jun 24Melbourne18022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 18.5 Over -161 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 17.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 16.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom Powell (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Powell is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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