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AFL

Tom Powell

North Melbourne

+1.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Model Probability
87.0%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
21.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom Powell (North Melbourne) Over 15.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the North Melbourne Kangaroos and the Richmond Tigers, all eyes should be on young gun Tom Powell to shine on his home turf at Marvel Stadium. Powell has been a consistent force in his last five home games, averaging an impressive 17.6 disposals per match. With a recent history of dominating against Richmond with an average of 20 disposals per game, Powell's form is hard to ignore. His ability to find the footy with precision, boasting a 70.5% disposal efficiency at home, coupled with his knack for gaining significant metres (averaging 217.6) make him a prime candidate to surpass the 15.5 disposals line set by the bookmakers. Powell's current form streak of 2 hits and an overall hit rate of 6/7 further solidify his potential to deliver in this matchup. Betting on Powell to go over 15.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent performances and historical success against the Tigers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 16.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
15 Mar 26 Port Adelaide Power @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom Powell (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Tom Powell is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.