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The latest Bet Better model pick for Shaun Mannagh is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
AFL

Shaun Mannagh

Geelong Cats

+3.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -303 (1.33)
+3.3% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
78.5%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+3.3%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals78.5%—75.2%1.27+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Shaun Mannagh, the Geelong Cats' sharpshooter, is poised to light up GMHBA Stadium against the St Kilda Saints. Over his last five home games, Mannagh has been a scoring machine, averaging a solid 1.6 goals per game, even notching 1.5 goals on average against the very opponent he faces today. His scoring accuracy sits at a respectable 42.7%, ensuring he makes the most of his opportunities inside 50. With an average of 2.6 shots at goal per game at home, Mannagh is constantly knocking on the door. The stats paint a clear picture of a player who is in form and hungry for goals. Backing Mannagh to snag at least one major tonight seems like a bet with solid grounding in recent performance trends.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.7avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 17.7 · hi 23 · lo 12
20141912171521212315

Shaun Mannagh has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.4avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
0102222131

Shaun Mannagh has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shaun Mannagh is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 16 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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