Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Shai Bolton

Fremantle

Value call

Shai Bolton (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 7.5 handballs that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
9.8 handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.0% · before adjusting for past results 74.2% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap -0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Shai Bolton
over 7.5 handballs
Handballs Over 7.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.00 Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shai Bolton is Over 7.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:07PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs74.2%62.0%62.5%1.61+11.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Shai Bolton Over 7.5 Handballs (-167)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Shai Bolton has been impressive lately, showing he can really rack up handballs. With Fremantle getting the ball inside 50 more often than Brisbane, Bolton should find plenty of opportunities to dish it out. Plus, the game is expected to be competitive, which means more close plays and chances for him to get those handballs up. The only real concern is that both teams are good at winning contested ball, so it might be tougher for Bolton to get clean possessions at times. Still, with the way he's been playing and the flow of the game, betting on him to have over 7.5 handballs feels like a solid choice.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Shai Bolton averaged 16.8 disposals, 1.5 goals and 3.8 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

16.8
Disposals
1.5
Goals
3.8
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Shai Bolton has cleared 14.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o14.5100%
o15.5100%
o17.570%
o19.560%
o20.540%
o22.530%
o24.520%
o25.520%
o27.50%
o29.50%
o30.50%
o32.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Shai Bolton is averaging 22.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

22.2
Disp · Overall
1.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Shai Bolton recorded 13 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS13173
18 Aug 24Hawthorn12313
11 Aug 24St Kilda11212
3 Aug 24North Melbourne12123
28 Jul 24Collingwood21022
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide17112
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS18212
6 Jul 24Fremantle16472
30 Jun 24Carlton17021
15 Jun 24Hawthorn15124
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Handballs 7.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 18.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Shai Bolton (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shai Bolton is Over 7.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.