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AFL

Sean Darcy

Fremantle

Value call

Sean Darcy (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 1.5 marks that pays $220 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
1.7 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.4% · before adjusting for past results 56.1% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap +5.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 14 Aug, 8:10 PM AEST
Sean Darcy
over 1.5 marks
Marks Over 1.5 +120 (2.20) · $100→$220
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00 Odds+120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Darcy is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:52PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks56.1%51.4%45.5%1.95+10.7%

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AI Analysis

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Sean Darcy (Fremantle) Over 1.5 player_marks_over (+120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to marking prowess, Sean Darcy has been a standout force for the Fremantle Dockers on home turf. Over his last five home games, he's been averaging 1.2 marks and 0.4 marks inside 50, showcasing his ability to provide a target up forward. Facing off against the Adelaide Crows, who have been conceding an average of 2 marks to opponents, Darcy is in a prime position to capitalize on their defensive vulnerabilities. With his recent form and the matchup at hand, it's no surprise that the model predicts Darcy to exceed the 1.5 marks line with a 10.7% edge. Expect Darcy to dominate the air and play a crucial role in Fremantle's attacking strategy, making the over on his marks a solid bet for this showdown at Optus Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sean Darcy averaged 12.4 disposals, 0.5 goals and 1.6 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

12.4
Disposals
0.5
Goals
1.6
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (4 Aug 24 vs Essendon), Sean Darcy recorded 12 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
4 Aug 24Essendon12021
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles12022
21 Jul 24Melbourne16030
6 Jul 24Richmond7011
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans9102
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS20123
15 Jun 24Western Bulldogs12005
2 Jun 24Melbourne14114
24 May 24Collingwood13104
5 May 24Richmond10232
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sean Darcy (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Darcy is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 14 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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