Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Switkowski is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 66%, implied 76%, edge +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 5:50AM UTC
AFL

Sam Switkowski

Fremantle

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+2.0% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
2.9 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.8% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap +2.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.8%65.5%75.8%1.53+2.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Sam Switkowski Over 1.5 Marks (-312)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Sam Switkowski to get over 1.5 marks look solid here. Our numbers really like this pick because Fremantle gets the ball into scoring positions more often than Hawthorn, giving Switkowski plenty of chances to take marks. He plays an important role in their attack, especially since Fremantle has won 7 of their last 10 games, showing their strong form. However, the one risk to consider is that both teams have been close in contested possessions lately, with Fremantle losing the contested ball by about 2.8 a game. Still, with all those opportunities in front of him, Switkowski seems likely to grab at least two marks in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Sam Switkowski averaged 14.5 disposals, 0.6 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

14.5
Disposals
0.6
Goals
3.2
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Sam Switkowski recorded 22 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide22144
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS13106
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats19073
4 Aug 24Essendon16053
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles16232
21 Jul 24Melbourne12013
13 Jul 24Hawthorn11116
6 Jul 24Richmond14137
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans17156
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS14048
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 10.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -103 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Sam Switkowski (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Switkowski is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.