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AFL

Sam Durham

Essendon

+4.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -333 (1.30)
+4.0% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
80.9%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value
22.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sam Durham (Essendon) Over 18.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Durham is set to make waves as Essendon takes on the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium. In his last five away games, Durham has been a midfield maestro, averaging an impressive 19.2 disposals per match. Against the Bulldogs, he's been even more prolific, boasting a strong average of 18.8 disposals. With a current hit streak of three and an overall hit rate of 3/3, Durham's form is red hot. His ability to find the footy, coupled with his consistent disposal efficiency of 61.7%, makes him a prime candidate to surpass the 18.5 disposal line set by the bookies. Bet on Durham to shine brightly in the midfield battle and rack up the possessions to help your ticket cash in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 88.9% (8/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Durham (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 88.9% (8/9). The latest model pick for Sam Durham is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 5 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.