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Sam Durham

Essendon

+6.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -625 (1.16)
+6.8% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 13 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
93.0%
Implied Probability
86.2%
Model Edge
+6.8%
Predicted Value
22.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Durham (Essendon) Over 15.5 Disposals (-625)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Essendon's Sam Durham hitting the Over 15.5 disposals mark against Hawthorn, the stats paint a promising picture. In his last five home games, Durham has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 23.8 disposals. Facing Hawthorn previously, he's notched up an average of 19.3 disposals. With his recent form showing a knack for finding the ball, coupled with a high disposalefficiency of 68.4%, Durham is poised to be a key possession winner in this clash. His ability to cover ground is evident, averaging 396.4 metres gained at home. Considering his trend of controlling the midfield and the matchup dynamics, backing Durham to surpass 15.5 disposals seems like a solid bet with a strong chance of hitting big.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 92.0% (46/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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