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AFL

Ryan Burton

Port Adelaide

+1.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -500 (1.20)
+1.0% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 13 Jul, 6:40AM
Model Probability
84.3%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
19.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ryan Burton (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ryan Burton is in stellar form, averaging 21.4 disposals in his last five home games, exceeding the 14.5 line. With a model predicting him to reach 19.6 disposals and a consistent 78.6% disposal efficiency, Burton showcases his ability to find the ball efficiently. Against the West Coast Eagles, he maintains a strong average of 18.3 disposals. His recent trend of hitting 7/7 over the last seven games, including a 2-game home streak, indicates his reliability in meeting or surpassing this mark. Playing at home further boosts his chances. These stats suggest Burton is poised to continue his strong performance, making the Over 14.5 disposals bet a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
26 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -435 ✗ MISS
15 Jun 25 Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ryan Burton (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Ryan Burton is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 13 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.