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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Burton is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Ryan Burton

Port Adelaide

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -500 (1.20)
+1.0% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 13 Jul, 6:40AM
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Model Probability
84.3%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
19.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals84.3%—83.3%1.19+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Burton (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ryan Burton is poised to shine in the upcoming home game against West Coast Eagles. With a model predicting him to secure 19.6 disposals, a 1.0% edge indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding the 14.5 line. Burton's impressive L5 stats, including averaging 21.4 disposals, 14.8 kicks, and 6.6 handballs at home, along with a solid 78.6% disposal efficiency, support this bet. His consistent performance, highlighted by a 7-game hit streak and 83.3% implied probability, further reinforces the expectation of him surpassing the set line. Trust in Burton's form and the home advantage to deliver on the 'Player Disposals Over' market bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.7avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 16.7 · hi 23 · lo 9
2215239101312192123

Ryan Burton has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ryan Burton (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Burton is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 13 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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