Reilly O'Brien (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-250)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Reilly O'Brien is poised to excel in the upcoming game against Collingwood at Adelaide Oval. With a model predicting him to exceed 9.5 disposals by 2.8%, supported by his recent performance averaging 10.8 disposals in his last five home games. His proficiency in contested possessions (6.8 avg) and disposal efficiency (62.7%) further bolster this bet. Additionally, facing Collingwood, where he has averaged 10.3 disposals in their last five encounters, strengthens the case for O'Brien to surpass the set line. His consistent form, with a 90% hit rate in the last ten games, indicates a high probability of him achieving over 9.5 disposals in this home fixture.